Making Predictions
• Need to understand the role of the busy signal
– Is a busy signal a “good” or a “bad” thing?
• A busy signal is “good” for that contestant.
– It means other people are voting for him…if you can’t get
through, everyone else is calling for him…if you can get through
every time, it means he has no other fans voting for him except
you.
• This result avoids bias in the sample.
– Measures the population results without dependence on the
sample results
– It doesn’t matter whom you vote for but it acts as a proxy of
how busy a contestant’s phone line is.